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Posted by: TBRMInsanity Oct 14 2009, 08:12 PM

Cause I'm slightly weired in the brain, I decided to do some statistical analysis on glitching in Shadowrun. It turns out that it is marginally better off to roll an odd number of dice then an even number. With 2 dice giving you the highest chance to glitch (~30%). If you roll more then 9 dice then you have less then 1% chance to glitch.

Posted by: Screaming Eagle Oct 14 2009, 08:33 PM

I'm getting just over 19% at 2 dice...
7 of the 36 possible die combinations are glitches.

Posted by: crizh Oct 14 2009, 08:55 PM

Funny, I make it 11.

I might be mad though.

edit

although I only count 7 critical glitches.

Posted by: Screaming Eagle Oct 14 2009, 09:01 PM

ah yes! my bad... I was only count OH NOESE!


Edit - I are glitching on Math

Posted by: TBRMInsanity Oct 14 2009, 09:06 PM

QUOTE (Screaming Eagle @ Oct 14 2009, 03:01 PM)

Posted by: Screaming Eagle Oct 14 2009, 09:14 PM

Na, I roll at least 3 It probly used to be 5 or 6 dice but years of not using it loses it... ah bitter-sweet Calculus, I don't miss you.

Actually it wasn't so much a math error as a reading error... ah man "incompetent "native language"" I can see the flaw now!

Edit- Though this does determine that 2 dice is DEATH... gods you are far better off with only one unless you need to hit threshold 2 for some reason... and even then... eww

Posted by: Kagetenshi Oct 14 2009, 09:28 PM

I think Ellery covered this one pretty extensively back in the day; I know I brought it up often enough. Rounding bugs, even nastier than 6=7.

At least it's not Earthdawn, where (IIRC) it could have easily been better if the word "variance" had been in the designers' vocabularies.

~J