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BnF95
post Jul 6 2011, 04:09 AM
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Leonization how soon will it come around in real life?

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LONDON (Reuters) - If Aubrey de Grey's predictions are right, the first person who will live to see their 150th birthday has already been born. And the first person to live for 1,000 years could be less than 20 years younger.
A biomedical gerontologist and chief scientist of a foundation dedicated to longevity research, de Grey reckons that within his own lifetime doctors could have all the tools they need to "cure" aging -- banishing diseases that come with it and extending life indefinitely.
"I'd say we have a 50/50 chance of bringing aging under what I'd call a decisive level of medical control within the next 25 years or so," de Grey said in an interview before delivering a lecture at Britain's Royal Institution academy of science.
"And what I mean by decisive is the same sort of medical control that we have over most infectious diseases today."
De Grey sees a time when people will go to their doctors for regular "maintenance," which by then will include gene therapies, stem cell therapies, immune stimulation and a range of other advanced medical techniques to keep them in good shape.
De Grey lives near Cambridge University where he won his doctorate in 2000 and is chief scientific officer of the non-profit California-based SENS (Strategies for Engineered Negligible Senescence) Foundation, which he co-founded in 2009.
He describes aging as the lifelong accumulation of various types of molecular and cellular damage throughout the body.
"The idea is to engage in what you might call preventative geriatrics, where you go in to periodically repair that molecular and cellular damage before it gets to the level of abundance that is pathogenic," he explained.
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CanRay
post Jul 6 2011, 04:12 AM
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The major social ramifications of this are massive and only thought about by science-fiction and fantasy authors.
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JanessaVR
post Jul 6 2011, 05:54 AM
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QUOTE (CanRay @ Jul 5 2011, 08:12 PM) *
The major social ramifications of this are massive and only thought about by science-fiction and fantasy authors.


And me. I'm a transhumanist with 2x cryonics contracts - Alcor is my primary, Cryonics Institute is my backup, just in case anything happens to Alcor while I'm in the freezer; this makes me paranoid even by the standards of the cryonics community. (IMG:style_emoticons/default/smile.gif)

But, yes, I plan on living forever in real life. I just may be dead first for a while, but I plan on getting better. (IMG:style_emoticons/default/smile.gif)
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Fatum
post Jul 6 2011, 06:27 AM
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So, you hope they will learn to cure death (and cellular degradation) in the future? That seems a little bit too optimistic...
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Summerstorm
post Jul 6 2011, 07:36 AM
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Also... doesn't the very process of getting frozen destroy a huge percentage of your cells? Something with expanding water forming crystals and destroying your cellwalls? Same as with freezing strawberries... all you get back is tasty mush.

I mean i loved the idea, but unless you are perfectly flash-frozen... no chance. Nah i will be going the digitalization way. But for that we need a way to completely read out minds - which pretty much includes tapping EVERY single damn nerve going to and from my brain and months in a coma.

After that the transfer into a virtual neural network should be childs play *g*.

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JanessaVR
post Jul 6 2011, 07:55 AM
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QUOTE (Fatum @ Jul 5 2011, 11:27 PM) *
So, you hope they will learn to cure death (and cellular degradation) in the future? That seems a little bit too optimistic...


As we say in the cryonics community - "Being frozen is the *second* worst thing that can happen to you." It's a gamble to be sure, but any chance of success is better than a guaranteed chance of permanent death and oblivion if you're burned to ashes or fed to the worms. In general, we follow developments in emerging nanotechnology and biotechnology avidly.
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JanessaVR
post Jul 6 2011, 08:01 AM
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QUOTE (Summerstorm @ Jul 6 2011, 12:36 AM) *
Also... doesn't the very process of getting frozen destroy a huge percentage of your cells? Something with expanding water forming crystals and destroying your cellwalls? Same as with freezing strawberries... all you get back is tasty mush.

I mean i loved the idea, but unless you are perfectly flash-frozen... no chance. Nah i will be going the digitalization way. But for that we need a way to completely read out minds - which pretty much includes tapping EVERY single damn nerve going to and from my brain and months in a coma.

After that the transfer into a virtual neural network should be childs play *g*.


The short explanation - during the cooling down process (no one is "flash-frozen"), you're basically having your cells suffused with anti-freeze by being hooked up to an intravenous pumping system; this is standard for modern cryopreservation preparations. Poke around the Alcor website (alcor.org) for further info (they have some excellent pages on that very topic), but so far extensive studies have shown that current cryonic preservation methods are *very* good at preserving cells from ice crystal damage, including brain cells (which are obviously the most important ones). CI (Cryonics Institute) also has a good site to review, if you're curious.
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Warlordtheft
post Jul 6 2011, 04:20 PM
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It does lead to some ethical and legal questions, and to some extent the question is why? At some point either you or everyone else you know will be dead due to accident, crime or war. So what is the point of going on living? Also, the earth is pushing 6 billion+, who gets the treatment? Everyone? Not likely, probably just the rich and famous. Which will eventually lead to class warfare cause there is nowhere for the masses to hope to strive for.

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Draco18s
post Jul 6 2011, 05:05 PM
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I'm just going to leave this here:

http://www.365tomorrows.com/03/21/birthday-boy/
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JanessaVR
post Jul 6 2011, 06:05 PM
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QUOTE (Warlordtheft @ Jul 6 2011, 09:20 AM) *
It does lead to some ethical and legal questions, and to some extent the question is why? At some point either you or everyone else you know will be dead due to accident, crime or war. So what is the point of going on living? Also, the earth is pushing 6 billion+, who gets the treatment? Everyone? Not likely, probably just the rich and famous. Which will eventually lead to class warfare cause there is nowhere for the masses to hope to strive for.


Why? A strange question - to keep on living, to not cease existing, that's why. And I'd rather be still alive even if all my friends were dead (though it should be noted, I've signed one of my friends up as well so far). As to cost, any new profound technological achievements are pricey at first, so naturally the rich will be the first consumers. As time goes on, the price comes down. That said, I do work in the healthcare field, on the financial analysis side of things. HC corporations are the closest thing to SR megacorps I know - they're run by people who apparently really do have calculators where their souls ought to be. The *instant* "leonization" becomes cheaper than the associated costs of increasing health problems with older people, you'll start seeing it mandated into health insurance contracts, on pain of hugely higher premiums if you don't. Trust me on this. Again, if you want to see a SR megacorp *right now*, up close and personal, work for a large healthcare corp.

As for overpopulation, the obvious solution is to legally restrict reproduction if you're having the treatment, but I'm sure that will be a *lovely* social and legal debate - coming soon (within decades) to a country near you, when the initial treatments should be developed, probably prolonging life perhaps twice as long as now (my rough best guess, from what reading I've done). Of course, you're overlooking the biggest pro-death faction - the religious types, who will cheerfully insist on dying regardless of any treatments to the contrary. That's a big population control lever right there, and will probably continue to be a considerable balancing factor, population-wise, for some time.
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Draco18s
post Jul 6 2011, 06:10 PM
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QUOTE (JanessaVR @ Jul 6 2011, 02:05 PM) *
As for overpopulation, the obvious solution is to legally restrict reproduction if you're having the treatment


Error.
Loophole found.
Printing report:

What if one has children before going on the treatment?
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JanessaVR
post Jul 6 2011, 06:31 PM
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QUOTE (Draco18s @ Jul 6 2011, 11:10 AM) *
Error.
Loophole found.
Printing report:

What if one has children before going on the treatment?


Yup, that's a problem, all right! (IMG:style_emoticons/default/smile.gif) Extra credit fun - enforcing the law *after* treatment!

Like I said, a *real fun* social and legal debate coming our way.
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Draco18s
post Jul 6 2011, 06:53 PM
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QUOTE (JanessaVR @ Jul 6 2011, 02:31 PM) *
Yup, that's a problem, all right! (IMG:style_emoticons/default/smile.gif) Extra credit fun - enforcing the law *after* treatment!

Like I said, a *real fun* social and legal debate coming our way.


I'll just drop this in here:
http://www.365tomorrows.com/04/20/retroact...rainforst-cafe/
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KarmaInferno
post Jul 6 2011, 07:02 PM
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QUOTE (Draco18s @ Jul 6 2011, 01:10 PM) *
Error.
Loophole found.
Printing report:

What if one has children before going on the treatment?

They just go and shoot the little rascals as part of the package deal.

(IMG:style_emoticons/default/smile.gif)




-k
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JanessaVR
post Jul 6 2011, 07:17 PM
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QUOTE (Draco18s @ Jul 6 2011, 11:53 AM) *


Bluntly, uninspired tripe and class warfare propaganda. The writer should be spanked.
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Draco18s
post Jul 6 2011, 07:20 PM
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QUOTE (JanessaVR @ Jul 6 2011, 03:17 PM) *
Bluntly, uninspired tripe and class warfare propaganda. The writer should be spanked.


You do realize that they write one story every day yeah? And about half two thirds about 90% of them are dystopian? Class warfare propaganda comes up a lot. In that class warfare is a rather dystopian concept (the upper class gets better treatment, etc. etc.)

Oh, and did you miss the end bit? Where the upper class twat died?

Point was, if you're going to do Retroactive ZPG, the result isn't going to be nice.
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Tanegar
post Jul 6 2011, 07:28 PM
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I, too, plan on going the neural-uploading route, assuming it becomes available (and affordable) in my lifetime. I want a Terminator endoskeleton. (IMG:style_emoticons/default/biggrin.gif)
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JanessaVR
post Jul 6 2011, 07:35 PM
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QUOTE (Tanegar @ Jul 6 2011, 12:28 PM) *
I, too, plan on going the neural-uploading route, assuming it becomes available (and affordable) in my lifetime. I want a Terminator endoskeleton. (IMG:style_emoticons/default/biggrin.gif)


Personally, I'd prefer uploading as well. Given the choice between VR and RL, I'll actually take VR. That said, I have to *live* long enough for our technology to advance to that point.
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Draco18s
post Jul 6 2011, 07:37 PM
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QUOTE (Tanegar @ Jul 6 2011, 03:28 PM) *
I, too, plan on going the neural-uploading route, assuming it becomes available (and affordable) in my lifetime. I want a Terminator endoskeleton. (IMG:style_emoticons/default/biggrin.gif)


I've got one for that too:
http://www.365tomorrows.com/11/21/transit/
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Tanegar
post Jul 6 2011, 07:40 PM
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QUOTE (Draco18s @ Jul 6 2011, 03:37 PM) *

Your point being? Anyone can construct worst-case scenarios. It doesn't mean that anything similar to that will actually happen.
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Draco18s
post Jul 6 2011, 07:45 PM
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QUOTE (Tanegar @ Jul 6 2011, 03:40 PM) *
Your point being? Anyone can construct worst-case scenarios. It doesn't mean that anything similar to that will actually happen.


That there are potential downsides to a digital transition. Such as that your brain can't be digitized (for whatever reason).

Ah, I know another one that might be better (that one I read....two days ago, hence it was still fresh in my mind):
http://www.365tomorrows.com/05/11/retirement/
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Tanegar
post Jul 6 2011, 08:23 PM
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And an atomic bomb will set the atmosphere of the whole planet on fire...

Everything has potential downsides. The key word there being "potential."

edit: Changed my mind. I want to be a Transformer, preferably Soundwave. His voice is badass.
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CanRay
post Jul 6 2011, 11:00 PM
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QUOTE (Tanegar @ Jul 6 2011, 03:23 PM) *
And an atomic bomb will set the atmosphere of the whole planet on fire...
IIRC, there was money being put on if this would happen or not right up until the first test...

You could tell who the Apocalyptists were by how they put their money. (IMG:style_emoticons/default/nyahnyah.gif)
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Christian Lafay
post Jul 6 2011, 11:20 PM
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QUOTE (CanRay @ Jul 6 2011, 05:12 AM) *
The major social ramifications of this are massive and only thought about by science-fiction and fantasy authors.

Ah, The Living Tax.... What to do when there is no more elbow room because people won't die and are now producing more kids. I wonder if the birth-rate will reach a singularity before technology will.
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Nifft
post Jul 7 2011, 12:00 AM
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QUOTE (Christian Lafay @ Jul 6 2011, 06:20 PM) *
Ah, The Living Tax.... What to do when there is no more elbow room because people won't die and are now producing more kids. I wonder if the birth-rate will reach a singularity before technology will.

Wars cure population.
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