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 Propabilites explained |
 May 6 2006, 01:11 AM
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#1
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Running Target  Group: Members Posts: 1,498 Joined: 4-August 05 From: ADL Member No.: 7,534  |
I dont know if this has been done before, but I have just computed some pobability charts. Might come in handy for a GM.
1st: Probablity to reach or exceed a certain treshold y 2nd: Probability to win or dra with x dice in an opposed test versus y dice 3rd: Probability to win in an opposed test versus y dice find it here: http://www.serbitar.de/stuff/probabilities.pdf All possiblities from 1-12 dice. |
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May 6 2006, 06:34 AM
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#2
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Runner Group: Members Posts: 2,556 Joined: 26-February 02 From: Seattle Member No.: 98 |
Interesting. Just a suggestion... would you mind doing another version with the odds expressed as fractions (probably capping out at 3 digits, meaning that once you get past, say, 99/100 or 1/100, there's no real reason to express that it's actually 1/7835792, or that what's actually 4235236/10000000 could be expressed as 42/100?
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May 6 2006, 07:22 AM
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#3
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Dragon Group: Members Posts: 4,589 Joined: 28-November 05 Member No.: 8,019 |
Awesome work. I'm afraid of sounding too demanding, but could you get them for higher dice pools? Like, up to 20? My group will need them.
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May 6 2006, 10:37 AM
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#4
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Running Target Group: Members Posts: 1,498 Joined: 4-August 05 From: ADL Member No.: 7,534 |
@Shrike30: Sorry, I dont get it, it is already expressed in fractions. @emo samurai: Hm, maybe I can put the excel sheet with the calculations her, so you can just type in the numbers and read off the pobabilities. Im brining it into a decent shape and post it here. |
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May 6 2006, 11:17 AM
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#5
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Great Dragon Group: Members Posts: 5,889 Joined: 3-August 03 From: A CPI rank 1 country Member No.: 5,222 |
He means fractions as in numerical representations which show the quotient function, as opposed to decimal figures as they are now.
It's now: 0,33333; 0,55555; etc. He wants to see: 1/3; 5/9; etc. |
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 May 6 2006, 11:19 AM
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#6
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jacked in Group: Admin Posts: 8,006 Joined: 26-February 02 Member No.: 463 |
If you just want fractions of hundred, then those are rather easy to get from decimal numbers. ;)
0.4224634564356 ~> 42/100 Bye Thanee |
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May 6 2006, 11:38 AM
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#7
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Running Target Group: Members Posts: 1,498 Joined: 4-August 05 From: ADL Member No.: 7,534 |
Ah I see. Hmm. Dont know if I can make excel do this. I can multiply everything with 100, though, to get percent values . . .
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May 6 2006, 11:41 AM
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#8
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jacked in Group: Admin Posts: 8,006 Joined: 26-February 02 Member No.: 463 |
I would give percentage numbers with one decimal place, like 99.4%.
Bye Thanee |
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May 6 2006, 02:44 PM
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#9
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Dragon Group: Members Posts: 4,589 Joined: 28-November 05 Member No.: 8,019 |
Thank you!
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May 6 2006, 04:45 PM
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#10
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Running Target Group: Members Posts: 1,498 Joined: 4-August 05 From: ADL Member No.: 7,534 |
Ok, Ive done an excel sheet that calculates:
treshold tests (probability to achieve the treshold, to glitch, to achieve at least one of serveral tests, to acheive all tests) opposed tests (probability to wind or draw, probability to win an opposed test) extended test (enter dice and number of tries, get complete dice roll history, automatically calculated total hits, total hits are reduced by D6 if glitched, test is cancelled if critically glitched) http://www.serbitar.de/stuff/probabilities.xls (shoudl work with open office, too) |
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