Probable Glitch, How likely is a glitch? |
Probable Glitch, How likely is a glitch? |
Mar 10 2011, 03:16 PM
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#1
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Target Group: Members Posts: 17 Joined: 17-June 09 Member No.: 17,286 |
All,
I am sure this is neither the first nor last time this has been discussed, but I thought I would offer my efforts to solve this problem. Since it involves some math symbols I'll just put a link here. Any constructive feedback is welcome. See Here Edit :: Changed the last equation to be what it should be from the previous steps. Changed 'floor' function to 'ceiling' because I was tired and buzzed when I wrote the original draft. This doesn't change the logic, just makes the right number of dice needed for a glitch with odd numbers. |
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Mar 10 2011, 03:37 PM
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#2
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Douche Group: Banned Posts: 1,584 Joined: 2-March 11 Member No.: 23,135 |
Combinatorics for the win.
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Mar 10 2011, 05:31 PM
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#3
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Target Group: Members Posts: 17 Joined: 17-June 09 Member No.: 17,286 |
Slight error fixed in the very last equation. Denominator and numerator of the fraction needed to be switched.
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Mar 10 2011, 06:12 PM
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#4
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Moving Target Group: Members Posts: 206 Joined: 9-September 10 From: Minneapolis, MN Member No.: 19,032 |
Now for the lightning round: Calculate the probability of a CRITICAL Glitch. Go. You are being timed.
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Mar 10 2011, 07:12 PM
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#5
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Target Group: Members Posts: 17 Joined: 17-June 09 Member No.: 17,286 |
Well it seems pretty easy given the representation I was using for combinations. I was going to leave that as 'an exercise for the reader'. But really that's just an excuse to justify the length of time I took trying to complete the lightening round.
http://twilighteve.com/sr-glitch/crit.xml |
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Mar 10 2011, 07:35 PM
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#6
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Moving Target Group: Members Posts: 206 Joined: 9-September 10 From: Minneapolis, MN Member No.: 19,032 |
Well it seems pretty easy given the representation I was using for combinations. I was going to leave that as 'an exercise for the reader'. But really that's just an excuse to justify the length of time I took trying to complete the lightening round. http://twilighteve.com/sr-glitch/crit.xml QUOTE (graymagiker) This means that there are no 6s rolled, and the roll is a glitch. Ummm, a hit is a 5 OR a 6. You have officially failed the Lightning Round. Unless of course this was some sort of test of reading comprehension left for the reader, in which case: Touché Sir, Touché. |
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Mar 11 2011, 02:49 AM
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#7
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Target Group: Members Posts: 17 Joined: 17-June 09 Member No.: 17,286 |
No, I failed it fair and square; though it might explain why my players complain their characters always fail their test when they roll dice.
Page has been updated to reflect the actual rules of SR. |
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Mar 11 2011, 03:31 AM
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#8
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Moving Target Group: Members Posts: 206 Joined: 9-September 10 From: Minneapolis, MN Member No.: 19,032 |
By the way, I didn't mean to send you on a wild goose-chase or anything - I was joking about the 'lightning round' bit.
Either way, it's cool to see the odds formalized like that. |
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Mar 11 2011, 03:41 AM
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#9
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Runner Group: Members Posts: 3,473 Joined: 24-May 10 From: Beijing Member No.: 18,611 |
By the way, I didn't mean to send you on a wild goose-chase or anything - I was joking about the 'lightning round' bit. Way to tell him AFTER he does the work (IMG:style_emoticons/default/nyahnyah.gif) |
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