 Glitch statistics, Interesting |
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 Oct 14 2009, 08:12 PM
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#1
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Running Target  Group: Members Posts: 1,002 Joined: 22-April 06 From: Canada Member No.: 8,494  |
Cause I'm slightly weired in the brain, I decided to do some statistical analysis on glitching in Shadowrun. It turns out that it is marginally better off to roll an odd number of dice then an even number. With 2 dice giving you the highest chance to glitch (~30%). If you roll more then 9 dice then you have less then 1% chance to glitch.
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Oct 14 2009, 08:33 PM
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#2
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Moving Target Group: Members Posts: 304 Joined: 23-April 09 From: Canada eh? Member No.: 17,109 |
I'm getting just over 19% at 2 dice...
7 of the 36 possible die combinations are glitches. |
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Oct 14 2009, 08:55 PM
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#3
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Runner Group: Members Posts: 2,666 Joined: 29-February 08 From: Scotland Member No.: 15,722 |
Funny, I make it 11.
I might be mad though. edit although I only count 7 critical glitches. |
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Oct 14 2009, 09:01 PM
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#4
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Moving Target Group: Members Posts: 304 Joined: 23-April 09 From: Canada eh? Member No.: 17,109 |
ah yes! my bad... I was only count OH NOESE!
Edit - I are glitching on Math |
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Oct 14 2009, 09:06 PM
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#5
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Running Target Group: Members Posts: 1,002 Joined: 22-April 06 From: Canada Member No.: 8,494 |
QUOTE (Screaming Eagle @ Oct 14 2009, 03:01 PM)  ah yes! my bad... I was only count OH NOESE! Edit - I are glitching on Math Must have been rolling 2 dice. (IMG:style_emoticons/default/wink.gif) |
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Oct 14 2009, 09:14 PM
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#6
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Moving Target Group: Members Posts: 304 Joined: 23-April 09 From: Canada eh? Member No.: 17,109 |
Na, I roll at least 3 (IMG:style_emoticons/default/wink.gif) It probly used to be 5 or 6 dice but years of not using it loses it... ah bitter-sweet Calculus, I don't miss you.
Actually it wasn't so much a math error as a reading error... ah man "incompetent "native language"" I can see the flaw now! Edit- Though this does determine that 2 dice is DEATH... gods you are far better off with only one unless you need to hit threshold 2 for some reason... and even then... eww |
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Oct 14 2009, 09:28 PM
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#7
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Manus Celer Dei Group: Dumpshocked Posts: 17,010 Joined: 30-December 02 From: Boston Member No.: 3,802 |
I think Ellery covered this one pretty extensively back in the day; I know I brought it up often enough. Rounding bugs, even nastier than 6=7.
At least it's not Earthdawn, where (IIRC) it could have easily been better if the word "variance" had been in the designers' vocabularies. ~J |
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