QUOTE (rathmun @ May 29 2009, 07:35 AM)

Actually, if you want to use a disease as a weapon, rapid onset isn't always what you want. The ideal incubation period depends on whether you intend to use it to kill individuals, or continents. When targeting an individual, then yes, you want rapid onset. When targeting entire peoples, then you want very slow onset (assuming the disease is contagious while incubating)
I'm presuming the ideal use of a bioweapon (apart from terror) is rapid clearing of human targets while ideally preserving existing infrastructure. There's no need anymore for scorched earth tactics when you can effective remove the entire population without a fight within a matter of days, if not hours.
Depends on your target I guess.
If anything, I could see a need to delay onset for specific, individual targets. Like that Russian spy dying of radiation poisoning. Simple but effective.
QUOTE
The reason you want a long incubation for strategic scale disease warfare is that someone who is showing no symptoms is allowed to interact with the population normally. Thus if you have a disease where (for example) the time between infection and onset is a month, and the victim is contagious from day 7 on, then you can get three generations of victims before the first victim shows symptoms. When it comes to the spread of disease, three generations could easily be 90% of the population. This is the reason that the idea of Ebola mutating into a slow burner is horrifying to doctors. If it did, then it would have the capacity to wipe out significant portions of the world population.
Good point. However, just because someone is displaying symptoms already doesn't mean they're still not contagious though.
Also, with genetically tailored viruses and nanotech, there's no reason you couldn't limit this to a very short lifespan -- e.g. maximum duration 21 days. At which point the viral cells simply die.
This could ensure that the virus died out long before an invading force sent in their armed forces to claim territory. Would also ensure that anyone left would be easy pickings...
- J.