James McMurray
May 24 2006, 07:57 AM
People can be replaced, but then you've got at a maximum about 4 years. Our country has been gripped in "antiterrorism fever." the next administration is unlikely to do any major gear changing. Even some of the next Democratic hopefuls said they'd stay in Iraq.
If Bush were more eloquent when speaking extemporaneously his approval rating would probably have stayed incredibly high all this time. His problem is that it's just too easy to take shots at him.
Funny side comment: The CIA director was just appointed. When explaining about it Bush used the exact same words he used to usher in the last CIA director whom he just ousted.

QUOTE |
calling someone a meatbag is always funny |
So it is that your sense of what's really funny is skewed.
mfb
May 24 2006, 08:03 AM
see, i don't think the US is still in that grip anymore. Bush's approval rating is down to
29%. i think the only one still blowing that horn is, well, Bush--and people seem to be getting tired of the tune. there are certainly a lot of Dems pushing for continuing the "War on Terror", but there are a growing number who are against it. as far as Bush's problems go, his main problem is that his mind is as small as his britches. just to be clear, i'm not calling Bush dumb--i'm calling him small-minded and petty, and there is
ample evidence to back up this claim.
Crusher Bob
May 24 2006, 08:06 AM
I don't know about you, but here's my idea of
7h3 funnyI'll argue that the corruption of the bureaucracy is more significant. It is the bureaucracy that the ordinary citizen deals with every day.
nick012000
May 24 2006, 10:20 AM
The only place where Bush has an approval rating of 39% is in liberals fantasies and their faulty statistics.
Austere Emancipator
May 24 2006, 10:27 AM
QUOTE (nick012000) |
The only place where Bush has an approval rating of 39% is in liberals fantasies and their faulty statistics. |
Weird. Looking at
these stats, you'd think he's only got 39% in conservative fantasies.
Voran
May 24 2006, 10:42 AM
I guess I wonder down the line how much info of what you do in your private time would impact your ...say...work situation more so than it does now.
For example, what if at some point, someone decides, oh, going to strip clubs, or having Pr0n in your home, on your comp, whatever, makes you illegible for certain jobs? (I mean 'regular' Pr0n, not the stuff that's already generally illegal). Or in the case of phone related stuff, you get called into your office one day and informed, well the Feds told us the other day you were involved in some rather naughty phone-sex while at home with your girlfriend who was also in her home, and we don't think that's appropriate for this sorta work.
nick012000
May 24 2006, 10:43 AM
Note that Republicans have an approval rate of 76%, as opposed to 6% for Democrats. Note the lack of statistics on the proportions of the sample population thereof.
We can therefor deduct that the sample was biased towards Democrats, given that Bush won the previous election with a clear majority, implying that at worst, Republicans are equal to Democrats throughout the population.
Austere Emancipator
May 24 2006, 11:32 AM
QUOTE (nick012000) |
We can therefor deduct that the sample was biased towards Democrats [...] |
So FOX, Opinion Dynamics, CBS, CNN, ABC, Washington Post, Newsweek, Gallup, New York Times, USA Today, AP Ipsos, Cook Political Report/RT Strategies, NBC, Wall Street Journal, and Pew all keep doing polls that are equally strongly biased in the same direction. No wonder you Americans don't trust statistics.
nezumi
May 24 2006, 04:36 PM
As an aside, while many Dems may support staying in Iraq, that's not the same as initially invading Iraq (or Iran). Staying in Iraq is cleaning up someone else's mess, and it needs to be done, now that the mess has been made.
mfb
May 24 2006, 04:45 PM
the 29% figure came from
here, if you're curious. while it is
certainly true that the Harris Poll shows a mild but consistent anti-Bush bias, it's not like all the other polls out there are showing
anything different. even Fox's polls, which show a consistent pro-Bush bias, only have him at 35%.
Fire Hawk
May 24 2006, 05:05 PM
Repube-licker, DemonCrat,
I'm the guy with the entree.
stevebugge
May 24 2006, 05:06 PM
What would be a much more interesting poll would be one of the 71% +/- that do not approve of Bush to see why. More than likely Gas over $3/gallon is much higher than NSA collecting phone calling records. Further when it is estimated that somewhere between 8 and 12 percent of the US Population actually understands American Politics, I place very little value in any popular opinion poll conducted in the US on Politics. Sure or political system is a mess, but I'd still rather have it than anybody elses. I also get really sick of people in the US trying to change the US to mimic other systems, if you like country x, y, or z's system so much better there is no US law preventing you from leaving. Sure I'd like the goverment to be smaller, more trustworthy, more efficient, and less invasive but it isn't going to happen overnight if it happens at all. Above all else political idealists make me nervous be they from the left or right.
Fire Hawk
May 24 2006, 05:13 PM
I have no problem with a Democratic Republic.
I have a problem with OUR Democratic Republic.
The Republicans are a conglomerate of religious nutjobs with loud mouths, and self-serving business partners who care more about what's lining their pocket than the facade of "doing it for the good of the country".
The Democrats haven't had a useful forerunner since Bill finished his two terms. I voted for Kerry simply because he wasn't Bush.
mfb
May 24 2006, 05:16 PM
yeah. and the anti-Bush is shaping up to be Hillary, unless Al Gore decides to get back on the campaign trail. man, that'd be nice.
Fire Hawk
May 24 2006, 05:25 PM
I'm trying to remember this correctly:
Republican: Big business, small(er) Government control
Democrat: More Government control, keep businesses in check (or some such thing).
The Bush Administration pretty much threw THAT out the window.
stevebugge
May 24 2006, 05:44 PM
QUOTE (Fire Hawk) |
I'm trying to remember this correctly:
Republican: Big business, small(er) Government control
Democrat: More Government control, keep businesses in check (or some such thing).
The Bush Administration pretty much threw THAT out the window. |
Not quite correct. First neither party is a coherent monolith, both are fractious amalgamations of interest groups, though at present the Democratic party is more fractured than the Republican party. Big Business is supported by both parties, both need it's money to win elections and businesses are smart enough to hedge their bets in every election. Businesses support incumbants they can work with, party is not relevent to them.
The 3 main splts in the GOP are Economic Conservatives, Law & Order moderates, and the Religious Right. In addition the Pro-Defense vs. Neo-Conservative Foreign Policy vs. Isolationist split is becoming more prominent (for those who adon't know the actual difference between the Pro-Defense and Neo-Conservative view it is National Security and National Interest from a strategic view for the former and an Idealistic belief in spreading Truth Justice and the American way for the latter). In policy terms this coalition generally ends up supporting tax cuts, reduced spending growth (not actual cuts) and increases in military and law enforcement bureaucracies. Rank and file tend to see goverment as the problem.
For the Democratic party it is increasingly difficult to find any cohesive structure, about the only unifying factor is that they are the opposition party. The interests that make up the Democratic party range from Unionized Labor to Race and Gender specific interests to Anti Religious Atheist activists to Environmental concerns, with the party rank and file caught in the middle of it all. In Policy terms this translates to increasing taxes and greatly increased spending and growing of social services with increased restrictions on Law enforcement and Military. Rank and file tend to see goverment as the answer to social problems.
Both sides believe in restricting individual liberty, the difference is which liberties they wish to restrict. Both also fight restrictions on liberties, again they do so selectively.
Fire Hawk
May 24 2006, 05:50 PM
This explains why the Democrats couldn't pull a decent presidential candidate out of their arses back in '04.
stevebugge
May 24 2006, 06:10 PM
Yeah they've gone a long way down since the Kennedy days when the party roles were pretty much reversed. 1994 is widely believed (at least among Political Science geeks like myself) to be the beginning point of an American Political re-alignment where the parties, philosophies, major issues and enduring majorities shift. There have been about 5 since the country's founding in 1787. Some signs that one is underway: Shift of Control of the US House in 1994 and the regional shift from Democrat to Republican of the South. The US is struggling to find a direction since the Cold War ended and every group under the sun is looking for their time to shine. Additionally as the lone Superpower the World political scene shifts dramatically as well, in to a short term period of peace, prosperity, and relative unity that degenerates fairly quickly in to an unstable multi-polar system as differences and rivalrys star to split old alliances and developing powers jocky for position in a new international political order. This almost always ends up in a major war, followed by a reversion to a much more stable bi-pole system like the Cold War.
Kagetenshi
May 24 2006, 07:26 PM
QUOTE (Fire Hawk) |
I'm trying to remember this correctly:
Republican: Big business, small(er) Government control
[…]
The Bush Administration pretty much threw THAT out the window. |
I think you mean "Reagan".
~J
stevebugge
May 24 2006, 08:40 PM
Big difference between the two administrations: Control of Congress. Reagan couldn't have shrunk the size of goverment by more than a few hundred people becasue of the civil service laws. Reagan had a hostile congress that didn't work with him to cut spending or goverment, the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings deal proved that. Right now the GOP has control of both houses and the executive, and has since 2000. They have no excuses for failing to deliver a reduced in size and scope Federal Goverment. Unfortunately the other option won't even promise to try so we as citizens just get stuck paying the bill for an ever growing goverment.
The SR timeline and history really does a pretty good job of capturing the combination of inefficiency, corruption, lethargy, ineptness, and apathy that exists in the US and subsequent UCAS goverments. Most of it is fairly believeable, a few exaggerations and a little creative liscense is evident, but necessary for the game. They do a good job showing the clash between politicians in power for personal reasons vs. wild eyed idealists pretty well also. Not sure if the authors of those sections and adventures read this board, but if you are a writer and worked on the politics sections of SR kudos for putting together a plausible political mess even if it isn't a likely one.
Navaruk
May 24 2006, 11:47 PM
The joys of NSAT&T
Other than pointing out that the FBI should be the ones working this program, I have to say that it can fairly easily be defeated with the cycling of prepaid sim cards and the cycling of cellular devices. (paid in cash, as I doubt they haven’t had a chat with Chase as well). Considering this, I feel the program to be both invasive and a waist of time and resources. When you add the plethora of encryption and embedding tools available for digital communications the prognoses is even worse.
What this will do however is bring a backlash on the President. As much as republicans and democrats oppose each other, the fighting between the congressional and executive branches is even worse. Just look at how many republicans are protesting the search of Jefferson's offices, and he was a democrat. I wouldn’t be too surprised if a republican coalition was formed to impeach the president before the midterm elections, if such an action was determined to be the most efficient way of getting re-elected.
James McMurray
May 25 2006, 12:56 AM
Nah, Bush won't come close to being impeached.
Cain
May 25 2006, 02:50 AM
Too much here to respond to, so I'm just going to focus on the biggest astonishment:
QUOTE |
I worked my ass off and still do in order to achieve and maintain financial comfort. If someone boring their asses off reading transcripts of emails between me and my gaming buddies can help to ensure that my childrens' well being continues then I'm all for it. If it means some peoples' ideas of what is morally or politically "right" don't get upheld, well, nobody ever gets everything they want, so look for your victories elsewhere. |
What I don't get is this: by reading transcripts of emails between yourself and your gaming buddies, your family is likely to end up in greater danger than before, and you are more likely to end up in government trouble. If cops and spies can't find anything significant to focus on, they start going after insignificant things-- like gamer fictions. An email about your last Shadowrun game, where you took out a senator, might land you in a database somewhere. A few more hits like that, and you're on a do-not-fly list without your knowledge. A little more, and you end up with a government raid in the middle of the night.
Think I'm exaggerating?
Take a look at this. It's part of an infamous tale in gamer circles, and easily explains how hanging out on internet forums can result in you being branded a "threat to national security".
James McMurray
May 25 2006, 03:12 AM
QUOTE |
The judge gave the Secret Service a tongue-lashing and ruled for SJ Games on two out of the three counts, and awarded over $50,000 in damages, plus over $250,000 in attorney's fees. |
Sweet! So the government getting access to my gaming emails can pay off a huge chunk of my mortgage. I gotta start sending more emails about crimes that are blatantly fictitious but could be misconstrued by some moron somewhere!
Thanks for letting me know that I can make money with this!
Nikoli
May 25 2006, 03:19 AM
Okay, here's a slightly different viewpoint.
1, My first task working for my current employer was to maintain a server that held a database. This database tracked all the atm and check card useage from Mountain Time zone to the Atlantic Ocean for this particular company. No mean feat keeping that db up and running.
2, We had a system that poured through the data finding your pattern, it remembered that pattern and then watched all subsequent transactions to see how they compared. If you usually buy a coffe& donut and "Jimbo's Rest Stop" and filled your tank every monday morning, we knew that on any given monday morning, you've either been there, left there or haven't finished filling your tank yet. So if we suddenly say a big screen tv purchase 4 states away within x minutes of your usual habitual purchase and no gas in between, good possibility you might not have made the transaction. So the card was blocked and the customer was called.
This is incredibly similair to what the government is doing with the phone records. They know who is paying for the line being used and being called, how long you spoke, how often you call and when you usually call. If they want a transcript of the conversation, most phone companies can and do provide that information upon receipt of a subpoena. The system
might have the capacity to use a real-time filter for key words such as those that get our usual sweeps from Homeland Security.

If that capability exists then it also flags the record for additional followup.
Now, it will take a long time of just builing patterns before this system is useful. Roughly 6mo to a yr before the second generation model can be built, then the accuracy improves by around 40% (what we saw with our first specific model build) and then you get diminishing results with each subsequent model built as there is only so much room to improve.
What I am guessing they will do with the information is take known aliases of terrorist operatives on foreign soil as provided by intelligence and trace any calls from them to the US citizens. From those initial contacts they will build a network of interaction, X talks to Y, Z and W, but W only talks to Z. Etc. from there they will guide further investigations, subpoena suspect recordings and financial records, etc.
Guess what folks, the data has been collected for decades by the phone companies. They use it for marketing strategies. It gets stolen all the time. If you want to be pissed at the poor rich boy who needs his ears pinned back, then you're going to be no matter what he does. He could hand every one of us a piece of bin Laden and you'd still be mad because it didn't happen sooner, or because an earthworm got killed in the crossfire.
Just don't pre-criticize him and his administration for losing data they haven't lost yet when the folks that turned it over have lost it more times than any of us would care to imagine. Can it be lost, sure. Is it likely, no more so than you losing your wallet. If you're going to criticize the government for potentially losing your information and thus you wish to negate them having that information, I guess you shouldn't have an ID, a check card, a credit card, cash, a birth certificate, a social security card, a bill with your name and address on it, a birthmark, a distinguishing tattoo, a nickname, a cell phone, a PDA, a laptop, a home computer, a set of keys, a bus locker combination ot any thing else that might contain vital data about you and your habits because you are more likely to be robbed ot simply misplace that same data than the folks working with the government.
The only reason we hear about large companies losing this stuff is because it's news, it sensationalism, it's big. We never hear about the thousands of morons who write their PIN on their checkcard and hand it to their date so she can get some cash to buy beer. Seriously, I hear about 10 calls like that every day from walking around on the floor.
Fire Hawk
May 25 2006, 03:32 AM
Just for the record, I've been "criticizing" Bush and his Administration since he was inaugurated.
And by "criticizing", I mean keeping tabs of every rational reason to believe that the man is a blazing eye-dee-ten-T.
EDIT: And I'm overlooking his gratuitously bad command of the English language.
Nikoli
May 25 2006, 03:34 AM
That's your right, I support that. But there are some who, as my dad would put it, "Bitch if they were hung with a new rope."
Kagetenshi
May 25 2006, 03:38 AM
I would call that a very good reason to bitch. Doubly so because of the grammar

~J
mfb
May 25 2006, 03:42 AM
QUOTE (Nikoli) |
Just don't pre-criticize him and his administration for losing data they haven't lost yet when the folks that turned it over have lost it more times than any of us would care to imagine. Can it be lost, sure. Is it likely, no more so than you losing your wallet. |
that's somewhat hard to buy, given the VA records that went missing a few weeks ago. and the time before that.
Nikoli
May 25 2006, 03:46 AM
You snipped the info after that, how we only hear about it because it's not joe schmoe.
The idiot at the VA's office broke regs and made the CD, bad on him. He should be flogged and hung up in the streets for the veterans to spit on him as they walk by.
Is it G-W's fault that some moron broke regs, nope, not one iota.
The Executive branch didn't lose the VA data, the VA lost the VA data. Bush is no more responsible for it's loss than you are, unless you secretly are the idiot from the VA.
mfb
May 25 2006, 03:53 AM
why the data was lost has no bearing on the fact that it was lost. i'm not blaming Bush for losing it, and i'm not even all that concerned about the phone records themselves. what worries me is that Bush isn't going to stop there. look at his pattern of behavior and tell me you think it will stop with call records.
Fire Hawk
May 25 2006, 03:58 AM
I agree with motorfirebox (at least I'm sure that's who mfb is) on the point of the BA's pattern.
QUOTE |
Nikoli said: Bush is no more responsible for it's loss than you are, unless you secretly are the idiot from the VA. |
Okay, that point I agree with. Just because a man (who would be a great candidate for natural selection were he not so priveliged) is doing a fine job of running this country straight into the cesspool doesn't mean it's right to pin things on him for which he has no plausible responsibility.
This is a common occurence in lynchings, unfortunately.
"This administration is run by Witches!"
"Cheney turned me into a newt!"
*stunned silence*
"A newt?"
"I got better."
emo samurai
May 25 2006, 04:03 AM
I do NOT ignore caps!!!
mfb
May 25 2006, 04:03 AM
indeed. my point isn't that Bush lost the records, it's that the data being collected on Bush's orders isn't secure.
and, yeah. mfb = motorfirebox.
SL James
May 25 2006, 06:24 AM
For those who thing ubiquitous monitoring cures all ills, consider that the Madrid train bombers communicated by e-mail without sending a single one to each other. They just wrote messages, saved them in the Draft box, and the others would long in with the shared password to read them, respond, flame, whatever.
Now I guess if the NSA had a backdoor into every ISP so that could read every e-mail you draft and don't send as well as save, they might be able to - if they are really lucky, employ a tremendous amount of manpower and processes, get the full cooperation of the ISPs, don't get bogged down busting gamers for made-up bullshit and don't get caught first - then maybe they can work. Otherwise they're just wasting their time, and like mfb said, furthering endangering our lives by not actually focusing on actual threats.
Smilin_Jack
May 25 2006, 06:58 AM
QUOTE (mfb) |
why the data was lost has no bearing on the fact that it was lost. i'm not blaming Bush for losing it, and i'm not even all that concerned about the phone records themselves. what worries me is that Bush isn't going to stop there. look at his pattern of behavior and tell me you think it will stop with call records. |
Quoted for great truth.
I voted for him during the 2000 Pres Election. Hell, I volunteered and helped out at the local republican precinct during and prior to the election.
But now, the man and his 'policies' scare the bejeesus outa me.
I’m more afraid of him and his party than I ever have been of terrorists.
Cain
May 25 2006, 08:27 AM
QUOTE |
I gotta start sending more emails about crimes that are blatantly fictitious but could be misconstrued by some moron somewhere!
|
You mean, like the one in the oval office?
But in the meanwhile, I'm glad to know that you'll enjoy having your kids taken from you, having your home and car repossessed, your credit rating tanked, and a fair amount of jail time, knowing full well that you'll get a small percentage of money back... money that you would have already earned, if you hadn't been arrested in the first place. But hey, if you like the thought of your kids in foster care for the several years it'll take to resolve everything, I suppose that's one way of showing how much you want to protect your family.
SJ games didn't get any punitive damages, you realize. They only got an award for *actual* damages plus attorney fees. That means, the government only paid them for the money they would have made, if they hadn't been raided in the first place.
hyzmarca
May 25 2006, 10:23 AM
The problem isn't that the data was stolen. The problem is how the data is commonly used. Most specificly, how the social security number is commonly used. f you look at a Social Security card you'll notice that it clearly states that it is not a form of identification. Unfortunatly, everyone treats it as such. It is the use of the SSN as a ubiquitious universal identification number that permits and encourages identity theft.
Without universal idenitfication the problem of identity theft would be reduced from a finiancially destructive experience to a social annoyance and actuall mometary damages to creditors would be greatly reduced since they would be forced to use more accurate and more reliable means to track and identify clients.
The fact that the government is getting more involved in tracking individuals is a bit concerning. Ever watch MacGuyver? There are several episodes of MacGuyver n which Mac has to go undercover in East Germany for some reason or another. In these episodes there are always villianous East German police officers who ask MacGuyver and his allies for their "papers", their identification. And, of course, if the IDs were perfectly in order then someone was going to be arrested.
This attitude was "show me your papers" attitude, accurate or not, was use to heavily villify the Soviet Union during the Cold War. Back then, a police officier asking for someone's ID was tantamount to executing a political prisioner without trial in many American eyes. We were willing to commitmtual mass suicide through gobal nucleat anniliation to save ourselves from that hell if push came to shove.
I really miss the Cold War; I miss the time when we all loved The Bomb for its ability to protect us from Socialism.
James McMurray
May 25 2006, 08:15 PM
QUOTE (Cain) |
QUOTE | I gotta start sending more emails about crimes that are blatantly fictitious but could be misconstrued by some moron somewhere!
|
You mean, like the one in the oval office? But in the meanwhile, I'm glad to know that you'll enjoy having your kids taken from you, having your home and car repossessed, your credit rating tanked, and a fair amount of jail time, knowing full well that you'll get a small percentage of money back... money that you would have already earned, if you hadn't been arrested in the first place. But hey, if you like the thought of your kids in foster care for the several years it'll take to resolve everything, I suppose that's one way of showing how much you want to protect your family. SJ games didn't get any punitive damages, you realize. They only got an award for *actual* damages plus attorney fees. That means, the government only paid them for the money they would have made, if they hadn't been raided in the first place. |
Ur funny. LOL
I'll tell ya what, when that happens to me I'll bow down at your feet and worship the almighty rightness that is Cain. But given the odds that it'll happen, please hold your breath while waiting.
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